PENERAPAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK MERAMALKAN ANGKA PENGANGGURAN
نویسندگان
چکیده
Jumlah pengangguran yang tinggi dapat menghambat proses pembangunan ekonomi, sehingga diperlukan sistem peramalan untuk mengetahui jumlah di Asahan berpengaruh terhadap kebijakan pemerintah dalam pengambilan keputusan sebelum terjadinya peningkatan pengangguran. Peramalan ini berdasarkan data aktual kurun waktu 12 tahun menggunakan metode Double Exponential Smoothing (DES). Metode akurasi digunakan adalah Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) menghitung persentase error pada nilai alpha. Hasil terbaik terdapat alpha 0,4 MAPE sebesar 6,22%, jumlah pengangguran 6,22% 2021 dengan total 22909,72 hasil perhitungan ± 6.22% = 1424,98. Dengan range prediksi 21484,74 – 24334,7.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Jurnal Teknisi
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2775-0965']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.54314/teknisi.v1i2.703